Tennis · resolved market
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Franco Roncadelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68418da5febd81b70d4748dd03f763ca134dd5409230cf645d33f560140e0de6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Alcala Gurriof Max Alcala Gurri, Franco Roncadelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Franco Roncadelli | 1c | 11,819$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Franco Roncadelli | 1c | 1,331$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Franco Roncadelli | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Franco Roncadelli | 3c | 646.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Franco Roncadelli | 30c | 523.63$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.09 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Franco Roncadelli | 14c | 475.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Franco Roncadelli | 6c | 457.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Franco Roncadelli | 15c | 299.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Max Alcala Gurri | 70c | 222.7$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Franco Roncadelli | 33c | 166.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Franco Roncadelli | 29c | 135.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Franco Roncadelli | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Franco Roncadelli | 29c | 92.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 71c | 76.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Max Alcala Gurri | 71c | 76.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Franco Roncadelli | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Franco Roncadelli | 30c | 61.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Franco Roncadelli | 33c | 56.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Franco Roncadelli | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Max Alcala Gurri | 75c | 37.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Max Alcala Gurri | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Max Alcala Gurri | 69c | 30.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…1d6bbacked Franco Roncadelli | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Max Alcala Gurri | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 67c | 23.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Max Alcala Gurri | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.