Tennis · resolved market
Morelia: Alex Hernandez vs Andres Andrade
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x684dd66ae6cfdc34505f46f9232072c22c45622c4254dc5022b0f6502305de3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andres Andradeof Alex Hernandez, Andres Andrade
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,302 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alex Hernandez | 9c | 3,241$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.68 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Hernandez | 19c | 1,278$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Alex Hernandez | 22c | 1,102$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Andres Andrade | 77c | 720.98$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alex Hernandez | 20c | 627.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Andres Andrade | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alex Hernandez | 16c | 387.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…376dbacked Alex Hernandez | 31c | 357.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alex Hernandez | 9c | 263.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Alex Hernandez | 23c | 255.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Alex Hernandez | 31c | 241.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Andres Andrade | 78c | 222.31$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Alex Hernandez | 21c | 218.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Alex Hernandez | 14c | 184.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alex Hernandez | 18c | 177.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Alex Hernandez | 12c | 164.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Andres Andrade | 69c | 135.87$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 127.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Andres Andrade | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alex Hernandez | 23c | 118.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Andres Andrade | 79c | 113.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Alex Hernandez | 22c | 109.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Andres Andrade | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Alex Hernandez | 17c | 93.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andres Andrade | 79c | 88.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Hernandez | 19c | 87.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Andres Andrade | 74c | 84.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alex Hernandez | 29c | 66.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Andres Andrade | 69c | 66.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Andres Andrade | 75c | 61.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Alex Hernandez | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Alex Hernandez | 26c | 55.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Andres Andrade | 80c | 53.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Andres Andrade | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed Andres Andrade | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Alex Hernandez | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Alex Hernandez | 26c | 43.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Andres Andrade | 74c | 40.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Andres Andrade | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 476 | 53.2%253 W · 223 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andres Andrade | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Andres Andrade | 76c | 27.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Andres Andrade | 75c | 26.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc64backed Andres Andrade | 78c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Andres Andrade | 79c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Andres Andrade | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…e8f7backed Andres Andrade | 79c | 15.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 52 | 78.8%41 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morelia: Alex Hernandez vs Andres Andradethis page
- Hernandez vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.