NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689a5cf31cd031477357f187810b1769947f58321dd9f8d2c50cc6e21e56f048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Clippers, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 6,562$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.76 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 46c | 4,149$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.68 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Clippers | 48c | 2,729$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.92 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,960$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.56 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Clippers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Clippers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 47c | 759$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf373…dc57backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…0529backed Clippers | 48c | 580$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Clippers | 48c | 244.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Clippers | 45c | 62.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 61.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Clippers | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe1…3559backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed9e…f83fbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…7037backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1d…2bd7backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 23.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9847…1fe9backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 22.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfde…71d3backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 21.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd890…7d09backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…1468backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 18.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…4ea4backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 18.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. ClippersClippers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.