Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 555 vs Fancy United (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689af55ead1ef1029b7af2a38cbfe3fb8ed1a5c440dd7d990b80152626b3aa05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 555of 555, Fancy United
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fancy United | 43c | 1,805$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.85 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed 555 | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed 555 | 58c | 566.73$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.03 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 555 | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251c…4f52backed 555 | 53c | 274.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked 555 | 57c | 249.11$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Fancy United | 45c | 222.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 555 | 56c | 202$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Fancy United | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Fancy United | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed Fancy United | 47c | 174.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Fancy United | 43c | 131.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked 555 | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…0b97backed Fancy United | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 555 | 49c | 96.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed 555 | 56c | 90.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Fancy United | 43c | 83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed 555 | 52c | 79.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 555 | 36c | 72.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Fancy United | 43c | 60.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Fancy United | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 555 | 33c | 58.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked 555 | 58c | 57.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked 555 | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Fancy United | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fancy United | 67c | 50.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Fancy United | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Fancy United | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Fancy United | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Fancy United | 43c | 45.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked 555 | 59c | 45.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed 555 | 56c | 44.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed Fancy United | 68c | 44.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Fancy United | 57c | 40.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Fancy United | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcda8…e2ffbacked 555 | 56c | 35.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…7006backed 555 | 56c | 35.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked 555 | 58c | 34.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked Fancy United | 43c | 33.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Fancy United | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed 555 | 39c | 29.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed 555 | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…2775backed Fancy United | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Fancy United | 58c | 20.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked 555 | 56c | 19.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.