Euroleague · resolved market
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fighters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68cc9a021e6cf0035c54e0d920db1a292efc4e144c111351ec11daf94631c28a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guangzhou Loong Lionsof Guangzhou Loong Lions, Beijing Royal Fighters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 46c | 1,315$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.23 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 39c | 1,035$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.68 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.9 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 61c | 796.08$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 64c | 786.94$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.4 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 41c | 534.69$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 59c | 525$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 36c | 428.14$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 54c | 341.55$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 32c | 251.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 61c | 166.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 63c | 118.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 40c | 97.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 60c | 94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 63c | 79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…ba25backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 41c | 73.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 42c | 66.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 54c | 63.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 34c | 59.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 53c | 56.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 48c | 52.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…074bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 41c | 48.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…807abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…8649backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 44c | 27.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.