Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Elevate vs HOLY (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x692aa5dec38fed086ab884f502b0fa2e72d656bc57e769a9947e2e20cd663c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elevateof Elevate, HOLY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89bf…198bbacked HOLY | 33c | 456$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Elevate | 70c | 341.14$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…fd22backed HOLY | 33c | 320$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed HOLY | 14c | 287.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbd…fb4abacked HOLY | 33c | 276$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…20f9backed Elevate | 67c | 247$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…18cdbacked Elevate | 67c | 245$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…b92dbacked Elevate | 67c | 240$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed HOLY | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Elevate | 45c | 196.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…3cf1backed Elevate | 67c | 194$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HOLY | 30c | 164.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283c…9b6cbacked Elevate | 67c | 126$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…7b83backed HOLY | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed HOLY | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked HOLY | 37c | 45.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Elevate | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HOLY | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked HOLY | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked HOLY | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…3550backed HOLY | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed HOLY | 31c | 38.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…d960backed HOLY | 45c | 29.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Elevate | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Elevate | 55c | 26.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…2c20backed Elevate | 69c | 25.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Elevate | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Elevate | 56c | 19.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…c21ebacked Elevate | 80c | 12.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.