Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x694443cd60ff222a411d904bcbe24a5b67da626a3b6528ad649bf4eae58bcbca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Zverev, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Cobolli | 50c | 1,269$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.03 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zverev | 40c | 1,191$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.86 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zverev | 31c | 603.35$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.86 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Cobolli | 39c | 419.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.18 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Zverev | 61c | 318.74$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Zverev | 9c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Zverev | 61c | 159.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Cobolli | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 112 | 63.4%71 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Cobolli | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Cobolli | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Cobolli | 39c | 85.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Zverev | 61c | 84.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Zverev | 30c | 83.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Cobolli | 40c | 82.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Cobolli | 40c | 74.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Zverev | 52c | 71.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Zverev | 65c | 60.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Zverev | 61c | 52.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Zverev | 62c | 47.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…f8d4backed Zverev | 62c | 44.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Zverev | 60c | 42.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…05fcbacked Cobolli | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Cobolli | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Zverev | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Zverev | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Zverev | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…fc31backed Zverev | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Zverev | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zverev | 53c | 18.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs CobolliCobolli won
- Zverev vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.