MLB · resolved market
Will Kidderminster Harriers FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x695fdd077bd2af18b1ab2701bdb69ba9a4b58d23dd97ab12116dea52c6f42c46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 53c | 3,317$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.03 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 2,005$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.37 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 48c | 810.33$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.37 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 56c | 796.5$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.88 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 45c | 391$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 45c | 391$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 391$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed No | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 43c | 118$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 43c | 82.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 56c | 56.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 20c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 43c | 47.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 44c | 37.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked No | 55c | 25.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kidderminster Harriers FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Eastleigh FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.