Premier League · resolved market
Preston North End FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f730556fa1bfc56cc718be1b1534d40ec049322d3aca8b896ea73cf4eebbb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 62c | 3,006$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.4 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 1,429$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.82 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 43c | 1,386$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 857$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.66 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 37c | 667.35$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.53 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 59c | 621.3$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.05 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 506.32$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.72 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 503$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 372.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 225$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 38c | 189$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 39c | 139.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Over | 51c | 117$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 42c | 88.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 38c | 39.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 42c | 35.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 60c | 35.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Under | 40c | 35.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 41c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Preston North End FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Preston North End FC vs. Everton FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Preston North End FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Preston North End FC vs. Everton FC: Everton FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Preston North End FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.