CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a2c4876c953575a68324edc372ca1f26bd3bd33a6a45fd19d67d7c2e3048c3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof Nuclear TigeRES, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked KOLESIE | 37c | 535.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.29 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed KOLESIE | 39c | 456.78$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 456.78$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.64 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 21c | 455.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked KOLESIE | 51c | 257.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed KOLESIE | 26c | 167.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KOLESIE | 42c | 155.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 107.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…19cebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 13c | 106.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 102.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 78.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 43.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked KOLESIE | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 32.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked KOLESIE | 35c | 32.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…2df3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 32.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed KOLESIE | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…2b3ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 73c | 27.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 22.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed KOLESIE | 79c | 17.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 16.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…fc61backed Nuclear TigeRES | 78c | 15.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.