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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Gamespace Mediterranean College Esportsof Team Phantasma, Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,647 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf163…ca34backed Team Phantasma55c561.1$310 inLost-$309.691,50948.5%732 W · 777 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…5267backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports75c325.54$244 inWon+$81.7916672.3%120 W · 46 L+17.0wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports46c285$131 inWon+$153.957845.7%264 W · 314 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Team Phantasma12c236.84$29 inLost-$28.6735836.9%132 W · 226 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports45c209.98$95 inWon+$115.291,46943.3%636 W · 833 L+107.3wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b68…4785backed Team Phantasma15c150$23 inLost-$22.53943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports70c150$105 inWon+$45.3123763.3%150 W · 87 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports45c100$45 inWon+$5572715.1%110 W · 617 L-32.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports64c70.32$45 inWon+$25.670541.3%291 W · 414 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Team Phantasma28c52.22$15 inLost-$14.6273059.7%436 W · 294 L+79.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Phantasma31c48.83$15 inLost-$15.162,08830.6%639 W · 1,449 L-176.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports69c40$28 inWon+$12.227555.6%153 W · 122 L+1.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Phantasma53c23.52$12 inLost-$12.4751856.6%293 W · 225 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.