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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Phantasmaof Team Phantasma, Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf163…ca34backed Team Phantasma66c1,510$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.911,50948.5%732 W · 777 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports50c611.8$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4270541.3%291 W · 414 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Team Phantasma79c400$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9723763.3%150 W · 87 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports72c315$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.516541.2%68 W · 97 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports38c309.22$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6972715.1%110 W · 617 L-32.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports39c300.44$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9757845.7%264 W · 314 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports54c279.96$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.51,04046.8%487 W · 553 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports41c207$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.872,27933%753 W · 1,526 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0a…5cc0backed Team Phantasma49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e4…5ed2backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports28c151$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.121,89339.8%754 W · 1,139 L-68.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Phantasma56c150.44$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.461,38347.4%655 W · 728 L-35.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b68…4785backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports34c136.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.473943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…8c87backed Team Phantasma44c101.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.12254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Team Phantasma52c99.6$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8138243.5%166 W · 216 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Phantasma53c85.92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.181,43131.2%446 W · 985 L-141.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Phantasma39c83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.522,74535.9%986 W · 1,759 L-155.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa03a…1facbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports49c74.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.811735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Phantasma72c66.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.612,60839.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L-84.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Phantasma46c57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9965842.1%277 W · 381 L-56.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2742…db2ebacked Team Phantasma74c53.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.893080%24 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0cf…251cbacked Team Phantasma52c48.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Phantasma58c46.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.651856.6%293 W · 225 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports37c45.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.032,08830.6%639 W · 1,449 L-176.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Team Phantasma49c42.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.486642.4%28 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports72c41.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8510250%51 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d14…36fdbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports41c40.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5416847.6%80 W · 88 L+16.4wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+47%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports48c39.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.891,39849.4%691 W · 707 L-20.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Team Phantasma64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2510148.5%49 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports43c26.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2624345.3%110 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team Phantasma50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9240731.2%127 W · 280 L-29.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x100c…edc9backed Team Phantasma66c25.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.466755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51,27340%509 W · 764 L-69.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2427555.6%153 W · 122 L+1.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Phantasma57c21.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.221,60955.4%892 W · 717 L+84.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc81…a635backed Team Phantasma62c21.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.252857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.