Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Braga vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a6c1098b0d3762e5ef9e1e3ae210aa010667c40f302658cd024ec9d609c1224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a73…1660backed Under | 51c | 2,003$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Under | 52c | 1,716$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 50c | 577.69$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.69 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 563.01$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.24 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 407.33$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 356.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 48c | 280.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 248$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…c25bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 48c | 172.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 49c | 160$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 52c | 93.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 47c | 88.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 83.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 70.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 52c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 26.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Braga vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.