CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Young Ninjas (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a905134df9aa6f96768729be616d04243cdbc180f12cdcb305c1eb86d771501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked KOLESIE | 62c | 3,550$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.17 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed KOLESIE | 62c | 1,289$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.78 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 966.32$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed Young Ninjas | 37c | 432.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 397.65$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE | 63c | 383.78$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 376.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Young Ninjas | 38c | 354.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Young Ninjas | 38c | 351.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 346.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Young Ninjas | 21c | 332.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Young Ninjas | 37c | 308.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Young Ninjas | 38c | 278.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…0880backed Young Ninjas | 42c | 229.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 10c | 202.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Young Ninjas | 18c | 193.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Young Ninjas | 37c | 154.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked KOLESIE | 61c | 149.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed KOLESIE | 63c | 135.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked KOLESIE | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Young Ninjas | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Young Ninjas | 37c | 89.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Young Ninjas | 37c | 80.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 72.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Young Ninjas | 30c | 70.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Young Ninjas | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Young Ninjas | 37c | 65.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 63.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked Young Ninjas | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Young Ninjas | 27c | 49.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeab…3881backed KOLESIE | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Young Ninjas | 39c | 38.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Young Ninjas | 37c | 32.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 31.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Young Ninjas | 34c | 30.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked KOLESIE | 66c | 29.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Young Ninjas | 40c | 29.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed KOLESIE | 63c | 25.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed KOLESIE | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed KOLESIE | 63c | 22.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.