Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FOKUS vs REBORN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a9a8f916fd6b6114fd9993c0a7a23fa82cdfb6278a289d2019ceb8484a58d9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof FOKUS, REBORN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed REBORN | 12c | 4,753$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.22 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FOKUS | 63c | 352.13$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed REBORN | 47c | 314.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked FOKUS | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +8.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed FOKUS | 52c | 190.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed FOKUS | 46c | 175.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS | 79c | 173.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked REBORN | 54c | 170.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked REBORN | 63c | 152.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed REBORN | 56c | 141.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed REBORN | 19c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed REBORN | 42c | 107.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS | 65c | 107.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed REBORN | 18c | 100.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked FOKUS | 58c | 99.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed REBORN | 59c | 85.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked REBORN | 43c | 59.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed REBORN | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS | 49c | 34.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FOKUS vs REBORN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FOKUS vs REBORN (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B REBORN won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs REBORN - Map 2 Winner REBORN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.