Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Norrie vs Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aa6e524133ca9e4af21bf35dd75b0a8f2a83afb35c886babf715da948243e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norrieof Norrie, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Minaur | 52c | 769.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Norrie | 35c | 737.79$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.63 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Norrie | 49c | 513.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minaur | 62c | 430.27$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.63 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Norrie | 38c | 410$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.2 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Minaur | 46c | 408.67$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.16 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minaur | 5c | 372$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…f272backed Norrie | 33c | 301.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Minaur | 51c | 186.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Norrie | 35c | 142.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Norrie | 16c | 125.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Norrie | 37c | 101.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Minaur | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Norrie | 56c | 66.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Minaur | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Norrie | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Minaur | 58c | 50.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Minaur | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…1c6dbacked Norrie | 46c | 33.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Norrie | 51c | 29.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Minaur | 64c | 25.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Norrie | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Norrie vs Minaurthis page
- Cameron Norrie vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de MinaurCameron Norrie won
- Norrie vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Norrie vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs MinaurMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)Norrie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.