CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b0c32aeb638c32ac2d219df93e9c14853bd02c87ecafa364beb153001e44274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof ODDIK, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked ODDIK | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ODDIK | 59c | 1,065$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.23 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ODDIK | 49c | 747.64$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.27 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Fluxo W7M | 27c | 515.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.06 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed ODDIK | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 484.74$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.91 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M | 41c | 484.06$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.44 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 391.32$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Fluxo W7M | 43c | 389.77$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.17 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed ODDIK | 72c | 361.66$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Fluxo W7M | 41c | 350$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fluxo W7M | 40c | 293.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ODDIK | 58c | 293.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ODDIK | 45c | 218.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked ODDIK | 40c | 188.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 148.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Fluxo W7M | 39c | 139.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Fluxo W7M | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 98.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Fluxo W7M | 41c | 97.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Fluxo W7M | 43c | 95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Fluxo W7M | 33c | 76.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fluxo W7M | 43c | 65.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 56.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Fluxo W7M | 44c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fluxo W7M | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M | 40c | 50.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Fluxo W7M | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Fluxo W7M | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 49.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked ODDIK | 80c | 46.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…46a2backed ODDIK | 40c | 39.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…3c12backed ODDIK | 67c | 38.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed ODDIK | 57c | 37.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fluxo W7M | 40c | 34.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Fluxo W7M | 40c | 33.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked ODDIK | 58c | 33.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…f490backed ODDIK | 68c | 31.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.