Other European Leagues · resolved market
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b560e5f642489ea3deb874fac73ef967b6f7ba9a6c2b86f506fc7a4d11e9151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 48c | 16,421$7,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,881.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 6,061$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 1,534$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Over | 51c | 999.61$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.81 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Over | 54c | 886.52$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 52c | 755.77$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 52c | 599.93$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 42c | 293.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 59c | 250.87$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 212.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 60c | 138$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 52c | 136.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed Over | 52c | 119.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Over | 52c | 107$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 52c | 103.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 57c | 88.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 43c | 67.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 52c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 52c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.