Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs Contra GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b66bec6760a8ece84e99ce987f53e13d3fd94b25147c1442026899ae45ad765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akave Esports Blackof Akave Esports Black, Contra GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,580 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x324b…defebacked Contra GC | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…9a4abacked Akave Esports Black | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…e4d4backed Contra GC | 40c | 2,570$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5857…9c67backed Contra GC | 30c | 2,560$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…a2cabacked Contra GC | 30c | 2,440$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…2d08backed Contra GC | 40c | 2,430$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Contra GC | 7c | 643.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Contra GC | 16c | 611.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Contra GC | 15c | 569.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Contra GC | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Contra GC | 7c | 246.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Contra GC | 9c | 149.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Contra GC | 37c | 32.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.