South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b67bf15ea2e55738cdad96842bccb0dbc47094273c3ba39a7b3965ca0553bea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 18c | 2,362$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.75 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 16c | 2,333$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.75 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked No | 3c | 1,942$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 23c | 1,645$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.57 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 1,627$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.94 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 18c | 1,015$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 16c | 751.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 16c | 748.7$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 541.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 15c | 499.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked No | 17c | 421.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 70c | 413.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 15c | 304.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 71c | 294.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 17c | 199.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 19c | 195.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked No | 5c | 193.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 31c | 164.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 70c | 137.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 70c | 137.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 70c | 137.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 70c | 137.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Yes | 74c | 135.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed No | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes | 80c | 103.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Yes | 80c | 102.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed Yes | 79c | 100.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 17c | 97.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 15c | 97.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed No | 14c | 86.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…abe7backed No | 15c | 81.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 80c | 74.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…189abacked Yes | 71c | 68.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 17c | 65.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Yes | 80c | 61.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 60.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 71c | 50.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 71c | 50.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 74c | 39.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 79c | 37.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 70c | 34.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…bb9abacked Yes | 71c | 33.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Yes | 75c | 32.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…2f8cbacked Yes | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…8859backed Yes | 77c | 25.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 76c | 25.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 72c | 23.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 70c | 23.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 72c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-14?this page
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-04-14?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.