Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Boise State Broncos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b6d50901d675c7bbcb5c2ca9e59b37509092ac7632d53690c62d3606c88ed1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Boise State Broncos, Nevada Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos | 59c | 699.76$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 57c | 165.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boise State Broncos | 41c | 126.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 39c | 113$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Boise State Broncos | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 78c | 94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 55c | 73.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 30c | 68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Boise State Broncos | 70c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Boise State Broncos | 37c | 48.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Boise State Broncos | 62c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 53c | 29.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Boise State Broncos | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Boise State Broncos | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Boise State Broncos | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Boise State Broncos | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.