South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b85fd1202299d1b0a8d49e803f0911c6fb63369e9647f0881acfa847b33dadb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 15,994$9,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,837.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 52c | 7,158$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.16 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 33c | 5,792$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 53c | 2,413$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 2,279$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.71 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 2,182$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.88 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 999.85$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 1c | 877.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 38c | 514$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 46c | 390.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 43c | 376.74$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 324.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.87 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 41c | 246.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 45c | 224.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 34c | 199.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 60c | 198.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 55c | 153.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 48c | 100.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 56c | 100.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +241.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 95.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 84.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 63c | 79.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 38c | 56.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 54c | 47.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 59c | 47.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…2af1backed Over | 62c | 37.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Over | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…e35fbacked Over | 62c | 28.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…fd1ebacked Over | 58c | 27.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.