South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x922f12e37b18ecacd9fba16ba64f830993ad451a6e906e864ec538e7673e9fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,319$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 1,031$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.23 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 43c | 942.94$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.01 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 36c | 576.56$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 492.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 66c | 409.09$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1467backed Over | 36c | 366.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 68c | 260.61$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 14c | 150.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 14c | 115$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 97.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…daf7backed Under | 71c | 71.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 36c | 67.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Over | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 25c | 59.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 75c | 15.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.