Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Jacksonville Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b8a665335f0699adcfc7c4c159e41a20774d5874dfa268e9542ef2685093f1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Queens (NC) Royalsof Queens (NC) Royals, Jacksonville Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Queens (NC) Royals | 69c | 4,666$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.71 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 34c | 2,164$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.6 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 34c | 1,110$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.61 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Queens (NC) Royals | 65c | 1,047$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Queens (NC) Royals | 66c | 869$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.46 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 31c | 812.61$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.91 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Queens (NC) Royals | 64c | 740.01$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 32c | 547.16$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.09 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 67c | 537.18$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.63 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 33c | 335.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 33c | 250$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 34c | 149.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 32c | 145.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 33c | 140.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 36c | 122.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 23c | 87.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Queens (NC) Royals | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Queens (NC) Royals | 66c | 64.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…819abacked Queens (NC) Royals | 68c | 50.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Queens (NC) Royals | 71c | 46.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 33c | 46.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Queens (NC) Royals | 71c | 43.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 35c | 41.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Queens (NC) Royals | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Queens (NC) Royals | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 35c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Queens (NC) Royals | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Queens (NC) Royals | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsthis page
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 154.5Under won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Queens (NC) Royals (-5.5)Queens (NC) Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.