NFL · resolved market
Will the Denver Broncos win 10 or more regular season games?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bc4c57cd27ae5f35d8b7181e5644c62c07411bd392a938dba511a5a10255fff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 5 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 44c | 1,661$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.13 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 56c | 1,656$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.65 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…4253backed Yes | 57c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…83bdbacked Yes | 51c | 48.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Denver Broncos win 10 or more regular season games?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win 9 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win 12 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win 13 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win 9 or more regular season games?Yes won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win 10 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win 9 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win 11 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win 10 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win 10 or more regular season games?Yes won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win 8 or more regular season games?Yes won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win 8 or more regular season games?Yes won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win 12 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win 10 or more regular season games?Yes won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win 8 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win 10 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win 9 or more regular season games?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win 6 or more regular season games?Yes won
- Will the New York Giants win 6 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win 12 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win 9 or more regular season games?Yes won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win 11 or more regular season games?Yes won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win 9 or more regular season games?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win 10 or more regular season games?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win 7 or more regular season games?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.