Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd33c1afec7fbd02895743db87161d296666e1b0e7debfeaf9f8fae8f3282eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 38,574$19,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,017.58 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 34,077$17,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,612.16 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 10,409$5,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080.62 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 7,334$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.5 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 5,402$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 51c | 4,954$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.42 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.17 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 2,765$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.64 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 52c | 2,500$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 49c | 1,011$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.46 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 793.01$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.65 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 52c | 656.25$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.32 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 49c | 580.59$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.49 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 571.88$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 54c | 138.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 52c | 129.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 36.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Over | 51c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 144.5this page
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-2.5)Missouri Tigers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-3.5)Missouri Tigers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri TigersMissouri Tigers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.