Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7fec02ebc3e1079799dd4d22498c39777ec95b3bb691f3a13bcfb7b0fa64a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,250 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 45c | 34,717$15,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,094.15 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 1,616$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 46c | 679.2$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.77 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 46c | 646.5$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.11 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 534.3$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.18 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 47c | 396.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.25 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 56c | 354.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 288.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 56c | 198.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Over | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 56c | 141.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 55c | 72.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 56c | 59.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Under | 47c | 31.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Under | 46c | 30.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 54c | 26.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 142.5this page
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-2.5)Missouri Tigers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-3.5)Missouri Tigers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri TigersMissouri Tigers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.