Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x962f156b6d65eaa228d69f99273af4cd0c72d1b11025b030d8d92e487c1ae6b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri Tigersof Tennessee Volunteers, Missouri Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 10,045$5,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.2 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 6,081$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.86 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 3,832$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.14 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 3,818$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.63 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 753.23$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Missouri Tigers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Missouri Tigers | 50c | 594.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.38 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Missouri Tigers | 55c | 153.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 149.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 145.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Missouri Tigers | 49c | 145$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 143.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Missouri Tigers | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 95.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Missouri Tigers | 50c | 94.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Missouri Tigers | 50c | 88.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 77.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 49.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…7873backed Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 24.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-2.5)Missouri Tigers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri TigersMissouri Tigers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 142.5Under won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.