Tennis · resolved market
ITF Pergamino: Carolina Alves vs Giorgia Pedone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c03bff773dd0cdfc62ef7192d32f39aea700179d4f04acbaf7ca789a5803a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carolina Alvesof Carolina Alves, Giorgia Pedone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giorgia Pedone | 41c | 1,479$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Giorgia Pedone | 66c | 1,019$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.75 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Carolina Alves | 59c | 757.01$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.01 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carolina Alves | 42c | 457.23$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Carolina Alves | 60c | 333.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Carolina Alves | 34c | 150.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Carolina Alves | 53c | 113.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Carolina Alves | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Carolina Alves | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Carolina Alves | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Carolina Alves | 48c | 85.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Carolina Alves | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Carolina Alves | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Carolina Alves | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Carolina Alves | 41c | 54.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Carolina Alves | 39c | 48.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Carolina Alves | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Giorgia Pedone | 35c | 36.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Carolina Alves | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Carolina Alves | 72c | 28.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Giorgia Pedone | 58c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Carolina Alves | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…d365backed Carolina Alves | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 62 | 98.4%61 W · 1 L | +13.4wins | +0.22per pick | 77cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Carolina Alves | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Carolina Alves | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.