Tennis · resolved market
Athens Open: Elena Micic vs Qinwen Zheng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c30da876bfc4333cc74ae3940e034a3ef789e58f237b93b9cf1bb4794432541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qinwen Zhengof Elena Micic, Qinwen Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Elena Micic | 5c | 9,691$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.99 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elena Micic | 5c | 7,932$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elena Micic | 7c | 7,024$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Elena Micic | 2c | 2,941$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Elena Micic | 6c | 2,500$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Elena Micic | 3c | 1,761$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Elena Micic | 5c | 1,743$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Elena Micic | 6c | 1,608$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elena Micic | 3c | 1,538$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Elena Micic | 3c | 1,320$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Elena Micic | 4c | 1,283$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Elena Micic | 6c | 1,258$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Elena Micic | 5c | 993$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Elena Micic | 4c | 548.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Elena Micic | 3c | 542.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Elena Micic | 8c | 247.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Elena Micic | 8c | 238.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Elena Micic | 7c | 158.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Elena Micic | 8c | 149.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athens Open: Elena Micic vs Qinwen Zhengthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Micic vs ZhengZheng won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.