Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb1450068cddd2010ce7e20627f2558a6488367be73846b10d3780b7b8d4634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 55c | 421,483$231,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,794.02 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 45c | 410,005$184,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,502.25 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 4,763$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 3,249$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,013$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 688$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Over | 51c | 399.77$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 355.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 181.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 48c | 94.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over | 47c | 90.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Over | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Over | 47c | 58.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c4…e040backed Over | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 48c | 37.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 152.5this page
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Auburn TigersAuburn Tigers won
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 150.5Under won
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 151.5Under won
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-10.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-11.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-12.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.