CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d17ab1a581e7c9d3d1e551b7112b8424d7a6fdf9c9819ad13aca29043bacb63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof largadosypelados, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Fake do Biru | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fake do Biru | 46c | 1,321$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.04 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Fake do Biru | 59c | 944.25$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.03 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked largadosypelados | 45c | 670.01$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.51 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fake do Biru | 26c | 592.87$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked largadosypelados | 54c | 561.21$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.22 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fake do Biru | 27c | 518.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Fake do Biru | 16c | 367.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Fake do Biru | 61c | 328.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fake do Biru | 58c | 306$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.86 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed largadosypelados | 46c | 290.69$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Fake do Biru | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Fake do Biru | 18c | 264.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed largadosypelados | 77c | 258.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked largadosypelados | 50c | 248.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked largadosypelados | 76c | 236.21$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked largadosypelados | 52c | 214.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 198.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked largadosypelados | 61c | 197.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed largadosypelados | 77c | 179.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed largadosypelados | 54c | 169.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fake do Biru | 59c | 165.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed largadosypelados | 68c | 147.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fake do Biru | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked largadosypelados | 39c | 76.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed largadosypelados | 39c | 75.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fake do Biru | 46c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed largadosypelados | 57c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fake do Biru | 37c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed largadosypelados | 45c | 41.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed largadosypelados | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Fake do Biru | 45c | 39.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fake do Biru | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed largadosypelados | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked largadosypelados | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed largadosypelados | 79c | 30.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked largadosypelados | 56c | 27.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 382 | 59.7%228 W · 154 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked largadosypelados | 40c | 26.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked largadosypelados | 76c | 22.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…bf2dbacked largadosypelados | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs Fake do Biru (+1.5)largadosypelados won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.