La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e4a973ffa135f999c13a989a2f4316b48a13fd4b0942249522538ea90b25a65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,819 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 4,909$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.72 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 38c | 1,616$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.23 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 40c | 1,499$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.64 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 40c | 859.26$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.38 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 59c | 679.09$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 37c | 343.93$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 61c | 298.61$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 62c | 227.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 62c | 160.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc136…39b4backed Yes | 40c | 150.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…0533backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 61c | 58.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 62c | 50.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 428 | 58.4%250 W · 178 L | +31.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…b661backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 36c | 43.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 42.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d8…504cbacked Yes | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 63c | 41.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…3da4backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed No | 63c | 24.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 61c | 23.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 62c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed No | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?Yes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.