Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Los Ratones (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ef582d7a018f328c0f086178b66b6567efe9e56153dc4ba9e1c152e2bccf28b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Los Ratones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Galions | 46c | 8,583$3,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.07 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Los Ratones | 51c | 5,137$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.82 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Los Ratones | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Galions | 41c | 3,864$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.69 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Galions | 75c | 2,043$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.08 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Los Ratones | 74c | 1,399$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.25 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…b0bcbacked Galions | 49c | 1,105$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.64 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Los Ratones | 71c | 1,030$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.51 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Galions | 26c | 1,029$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.27 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Los Ratones | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Galions | 23c | 1,000$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.97 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Galions | 36c | 915.52$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.03 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Galions | 25c | 900$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Los Ratones | 75c | 793$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.75 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Los Ratones | 22c | 713.64$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…b9d1backed Galions | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Los Ratones | 76c | 546.62$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Ratones | 75c | 480.99$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.48 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…17d4backed Galions | 50c | 470$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Los Ratones | 75c | 408$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.66 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Galions | 27c | 372.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.86 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Galions | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked Los Ratones | 74c | 250$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Los Ratones | 13c | 242.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Galions | 59c | 218$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Los Ratones | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Los Ratones | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Los Ratones | 62c | 166.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Galions | 27c | 162.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Los Ratones | 75c | 148.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…2078backed Los Ratones | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768e…4a91backed Los Ratones | 59c | 127.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…df88backed Galions | 33c | 122.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Los Ratones | 64c | 109.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Galions | 26c | 102$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Los Ratones | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Los Ratones | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…7f61backed Los Ratones | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…03dbbacked Los Ratones | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8669backed Galions | 29c | 47.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5793…be73backed Los Ratones | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…4d77backed Los Ratones | 76c | 34.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Los Ratones | 74c | 31.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…ed78backed Galions | 39c | 27.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…7dd9backed Los Ratones | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…232abacked Los Ratones | 50c | 20.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Los Ratones | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.