Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Olimpo Gold vs Polar Squad Esports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f00ba2ff3d2d19b0ae5cb468950e88f284a52b9d93c8655bf787e4ce722884a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Polar Squad Esports GCof Olimpo Gold, Polar Squad Esports GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Olimpo Gold | 66c | 6,191$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.96 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 35c | 1,700$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 34c | 1,499$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.08 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 32c | 491.78$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.81 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 34c | 431$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.46 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 33c | 310.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 35c | 285$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Olimpo Gold | 67c | 149.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 33c | 148$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 35c | 143$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 35c | 122.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 33c | 118.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 32c | 87.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 34c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…aa44backed Olimpo Gold | 72c | 69.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Olimpo Gold | 70c | 67.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 35c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 34c | 57.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Olimpo Gold | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 32c | 40.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 30c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 34c | 34.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 34c | 31.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.