Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f10d3c2bf272ce7aaf97da3f479668fb8d146927a968977197ebbe12a71ee66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 4,202$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 2,755$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 21c | 2,340$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.95 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 15c | 2,242$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.42 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 1,073$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 69c | 1,002$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.73 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas Jayhawks | 69c | 745$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 18c | 743.11$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32c | 682.75$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.11 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32c | 631.43$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 590$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 415$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 30c | 409.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kansas Jayhawks | 70c | 408$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32c | 383.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.62 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 15c | 349$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32c | 254.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…d8d8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 131.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 75c | 126.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10c | 108.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a074backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…4a9cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 18c | 85.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 42.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Kansas Jayhawks | 68c | 25.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Kansas Jayhawks | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishthis page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.