Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Omar Jasika vs Scott Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f17a087bd6fed73d38f41e2720c5c4cf252ca58da54c724de3c5b9cc090be6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Scott Jonesof Omar Jasika, Scott Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Scott Jones | 1c | 7,733$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,653.23 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Scott Jones | 4c | 2,200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.67 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Scott Jones | 47c | 803.05$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.27 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Scott Jones | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Scott Jones | 9c | 425.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.69 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Omar Jasika | 55c | 297$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Scott Jones | 9c | 278$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Omar Jasika | 30c | 262.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Scott Jones | 6c | 243.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Omar Jasika | 71c | 223.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Omar Jasika | 72c | 166.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Omar Jasika | 31c | 164.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Scott Jones | 37c | 134.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed Scott Jones | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Omar Jasika | 69c | 119.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Omar Jasika | 80c | 105.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Omar Jasika | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Omar Jasika | 80c | 98.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Scott Jones | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Scott Jones | 40c | 79.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Scott Jones | 20c | 75.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Scott Jones | 20c | 73.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Scott Jones | 22c | 72.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Omar Jasika | 38c | 67.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Scott Jones | 45c | 52.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Scott Jones | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Omar Jasika | 75c | 39.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Scott Jones | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Scott Jones | 79c | 15.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Omar Jasika | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Omar Jasika | 71c | 14.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.