Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Gabriela Ruse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f3f89155ef1314b84ec20c368a05256242823c208c336278d0424f70ad2f0b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruseof Siniakova, Ruse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7318…cc3cbacked Siniakova | 60c | 5,431$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ruse | 42c | 4,842$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.5 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ruse | 43c | 3,575$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.66 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ruse | 48c | 3,549$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.71 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Siniakova | 76c | 3,432$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.2 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Siniakova | 48c | 2,089$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Siniakova | 50c | 2,015$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Siniakova | 70c | 1,433$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.34 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Siniakova | 58c | 1,375$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.5 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Siniakova | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Ruse | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.28 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ruse | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.64 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Ruse | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Siniakova | 79c | 862$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.13 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ruse | 33c | 715.55$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.17 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Ruse | 22c | 650$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Siniakova | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Siniakova | 56c | 448.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Siniakova | 4c | 318.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ruse | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Ruse | 39c | 300$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Siniakova | 33c | 259.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Siniakova | 12c | 227.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Siniakova | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ruse | 41c | 212.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Ruse | 69c | 207.21$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ruse | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Siniakova | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc837…2e91backed Siniakova | 76c | 169.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Siniakova | 70c | 166.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Siniakova | 62c | 162.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Ruse | 42c | 153.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Siniakova | 64c | 132.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ruse | 42c | 118.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Siniakova | 58c | 106.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Ruse | 38c | 101.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Siniakova | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Siniakova | 56c | 63.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Siniakova | 54c | 57.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Ruse | 51c | 48.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Siniakova | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ruse | 39c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Siniakova | 58c | 40.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ruse | 43c | 38.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Ruse | 38c | 36.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Siniakova | 47c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Siniakova | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0027…c6b0backed Siniakova | 48c | 31.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed Ruse | 43c | 26.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Ruse | 48c | 26.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Siniakova | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Siniakova | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Siniakova | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.