Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lakewood: Marcel Latak vs Kenta Miyoshi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f64ec027ffe41bb61712c09b668bcd9dbca468543910dd57054ee4390e33192
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kenta Miyoshiof Marcel Latak, Kenta Miyoshi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 80c | 7,245$5,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.32 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Marcel Latak | 20c | 2,887$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.53 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Marcel Latak | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Marcel Latak | 21c | 1,072$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kenta Miyoshi | 79c | 374.84$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marcel Latak | 22c | 360.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Kenta Miyoshi | 56c | 300$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Marcel Latak | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Marcel Latak | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 79c | 153.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Marcel Latak | 15c | 110.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Marcel Latak | 21c | 87.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Marcel Latak | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Kenta Miyoshi | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Kenta Miyoshi | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 77c | 18.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Kenta Miyoshi | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.