Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f9170a734389e37ca942d9049624c26d42d34ad709c62f33d5bb764153a62df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 46c | 3,736$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.84 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 2,146$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.67 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 1,354$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.03 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 52c | 1,085$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 997.74$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 48c | 981.09$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.16 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 37c | 884.01$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 541.77$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.02 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 528.7$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.02 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 47c | 414.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 71c | 283$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 47c | 108.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 52c | 96.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 65c | 79.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 66.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 54c | 60.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 55c | 56.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 53.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 50c | 27.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 48c | 27.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Kayserispor vs. Eyüpspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kayserispor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Eyüpspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.