Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Didrik Liljekvist vs Tito Chavez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f9241186d5461cf1a9b106908fb714a76f98b742a82d340f405c1eec5037773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Didrik Liljekvistof Didrik Liljekvist, Tito Chavez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Didrik Liljekvist | 72c | 17,008$12,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.39 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Tito Chavez | 27c | 15,768$4,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,262.34 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Tito Chavez | 24c | 509.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tito Chavez | 32c | 462.39$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tito Chavez | 46c | 434$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Tito Chavez | 23c | 417$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Tito Chavez | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Didrik Liljekvist | 43c | 210$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Didrik Liljekvist | 74c | 170.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Didrik Liljekvist | 74c | 170.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Didrik Liljekvist | 74c | 170.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Tito Chavez | 29c | 152$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Didrik Liljekvist | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tito Chavez | 34c | 136$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Tito Chavez | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Tito Chavez | 23c | 115.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Tito Chavez | 26c | 82.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Didrik Liljekvist | 79c | 75.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Didrik Liljekvist | 73c | 74.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tito Chavez | 42c | 73.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Didrik Liljekvist | 63c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…ab4cbacked Tito Chavez | 70c | 40.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Didrik Liljekvist | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.