TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,537 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c409.93$186 inWon+$223.823,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over57c343.32$195 inLost-$194.8610252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c204.3$113 inLost-$113.348,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under44c141.71$62 inWon+$79.3686452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…3d92backed Over67c110.49$74 inLost-$74.081435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under40c105.19$42 inWon+$63.1211963%75 W · 44 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Under32c99.99$32 inWon+$67.994839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x055c…6a54backed Under50c80.1$40 inWon+$40.18751.7%45 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under41c78.32$32 inWon+$45.943460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over56c70.96$40 inLost-$4022242.3%94 W · 128 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc080…f9a0backed Over55c54.25$30 inLost-$304845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52cc…fefbbacked Over56c44.64$25 inLost-$2580%0 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Under50c40$20 inWon+$2013528.1%38 W · 97 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d6…90aabacked Over57c35$20 inLost-$19.9517038.2%65 W · 105 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Under43c26.93$12 inWon+$15.3523858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Over51c25.66$13 inLost-$13.0914745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd17…d3abbacked Over60c25$15 inLost-$1510626.4%28 W · 78 L-11.4wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8cfe…aa7fbacked Under47c21.4$10 inWon+$11.341546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over53c21.36$11 inLost-$11.2445472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.