TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Take First Corner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spainof Spain, Cabo Verde
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x46fc…6ea8backed Cabo Verde1c2,949$25 inLost-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-56.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cabo Verde27c481.78$130 inLost-$130.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Spain73c452.35$332 inWon+$120.6233555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed Cabo Verde49c253.85$124 inLost-$124.359446.8%44 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Spain51c250$128 inWon+$122.551859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Spain73c150$109 inWon+$40.513061.5%80 W · 50 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+100.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Cabo Verde25c104$26 inLost-$2611631.9%37 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Cabo Verde13c100$13 inLost-$1317737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd828…810cbacked Cabo Verde29c34.15$10 inLost-$101827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+39.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Spain71c21.18$15 inWon+$6.22,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.