Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aaf132b09d1d508d7fdc21f72ed04fb330f8b64daf81bbde9516aa922ec6049
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Over | 33c | 1,555$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.14 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc966…e142backed Under | 67c | 958.84$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.42 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked Under | 67c | 568.22$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…64c6backed Under | 69c | 326.62$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 63c | 318.38$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…d6f1backed Under | 66c | 301.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 65c | 273.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 36c | 269$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 36c | 248.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 64c | 226.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 35c | 226.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Over | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Over | 30c | 138.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 37c | 136.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 40c | 125.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 66c | 124.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 35c | 95.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 35c | 88.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 32c | 80.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 33c | 69.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…5b70backed Over | 35c | 59.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 34c | 56.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 72c | 49.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 65c | 46.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 46.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Over | 29c | 34.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…8c3fbacked Under | 69c | 29.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 65c | 18.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…a066backed Under | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81dd…bd8fbacked Under | 64c | 15.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 8.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.