Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x700d3553b8ddfd3da5b07af93f0f0994737df37ef4fb03a6dcc02d321b040790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisville Cardinalsof Miami Hurricanes, Louisville Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 4,127$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.38 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.08 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 2,961$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.97 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 2,761$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 2,166$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.89 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 2,016$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 1,639$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.4 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 941.53$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 800.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.47 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 662.54$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.98 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 624.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Hurricanes | 31c | 585.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.67 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Miami Hurricanes | 26c | 545.53$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 317.25$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.46 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 227.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 23c | 217.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 188.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 158.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Miami Hurricanes | 43c | 120.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 99.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 86.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Miami Hurricanes | 27c | 64.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 55.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 50.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisville Cardinals | 54c | 35.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 31.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…282cbacked Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 29.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 18.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami HurricanesLouisville Cardinals won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 155.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.