Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Polina Iatcenko vs Alina Charaeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x700d9a48a05f273ae146532eb27a7563dfab852177115b6f2efc6aaad9a258a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iatcenkoof Iatcenko, Charaeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Charaeva | 2c | 4,883$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Charaeva | 25c | 3,869$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.38 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iatcenko | 75c | 3,234$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Iatcenko | 49c | 2,307$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.73 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Charaeva | 50c | 1,690$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iatcenko | 50c | 1,638$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.77 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iatcenko | 69c | 518.72$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Iatcenko | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Charaeva | 50c | 290$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Charaeva | 41c | 254.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Iatcenko | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Charaeva | 25c | 151.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Iatcenko | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Charaeva | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Charaeva | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…6ccabacked Iatcenko | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Iatcenko | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Charaeva | 48c | 63.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Iatcenko | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Charaeva | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed Iatcenko | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…9518backed Iatcenko | 66c | 15.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.