MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7020d2d660fda9154a5991eb34ea1c38472021ca6ff12dd7759d84b5c868bb58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 5,056$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.34 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 2,904$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.18 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 2,785$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.96 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 2,613$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.23 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 2,424$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.64 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 2,278$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.67 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 2,155$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.2 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 1,285$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.51 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 555.77$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.77 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 555.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.33 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 480.77$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.58 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 428.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.72 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…a7c4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 282.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 278.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…9520backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 215.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 121.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…5f7dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…47d8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 73.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 56.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 47.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…309ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 44.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 38.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…5493backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…0d7dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…ad29backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Angels vs. BrewersBrewers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.