CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x702fca5226abbc5cbf1b607ef07818f404696b0693dd1cd0e55c119d24b67b48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Walczaki | 63c | 16,512$10,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,390.96 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Alliance | 39c | 10,573$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,493.3 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Alliance | 37c | 2,798$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.04 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Alliance | 37c | 2,600$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Walczaki | 64c | 2,257$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.65 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Alliance | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Alliance | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Alliance | 36c | 791.27$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.41 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Alliance | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Alliance | 34c | 344.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Walczaki | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 66c | 296.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 31c | 208.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked Alliance | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Alliance | 39c | 124.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Alliance | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Walczaki | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Alliance | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…c3a4backed Walczaki | 59c | 76.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Walczaki | 63c | 67.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Walczaki | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Alliance | 37c | 33.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alliance | 40c | 30.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.