TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof Walczaki, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki36c34,479$12,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,485.295,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Alliance65c14,032$9,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,886.8392456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki36c11,854$4,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,209.32,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Alliance64c8,884$5,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.2664058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Walczaki36c7,359$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.7135153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Alliance64c6,825$4,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.571,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed55…1932backed Alliance63c6,266$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.85757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Alliance63c4,468$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.6124746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Alliance72c3,745$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.8128960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Alliance64c3,346$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.0145465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Alliance64c3,000$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09094645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Walczaki36c2,755$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x527d…3d71backed Alliance55c2,700$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.981250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Alliance63c2,273$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.9919245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Walczaki37c1,851$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.1914947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance64c1,756$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.921,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5a…9ed6backed Alliance63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.35362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2831…8fabbacked Alliance65c1,231$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Alliance65c1,084$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3927552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Walczaki35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9926054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Walczaki37c999.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.998051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Alliance63c885.46$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.622360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki27c797.87$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.24,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Walczaki35c694.84$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.768143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Alliance64c595.66$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4415743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Walczaki42c576.85$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.741,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Alliance42c534.04$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.5637440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Walczaki45c513.47$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.312,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Walczaki35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cea…b45cbacked Walczaki37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Alliance64c499.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18030155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked Alliance64c471.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8110262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Walczaki34c463.23$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.51,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Walczaki15c399.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6226341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Walczaki3c379.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91102.7%3 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki24c370$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.085,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Alliance66c359.88$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.834,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Alliance64c350$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12625944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…3518backed Walczaki37c334.19$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.476253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Walczaki36c326.9$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2137855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Alliance67c310.09$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.414,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Alliance64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810653.8%57 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed Walczaki45c277.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12517146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed Alliance64c246.83$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6522059.1%130 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Alliance63c239.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.82,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Walczaki9c215$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.352,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Alliance68c211.19$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0933354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Alliance63c208$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9631647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Walczaki60c204$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.448635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Alliance64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7218754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki45c181.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.667,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed Alliance61c180.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.593748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ca…e92bbacked Alliance58c163.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2814658.2%85 W · 61 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c5…2353backed Alliance66c159.42$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.27250%36 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked Alliance65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8512948.8%63 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Alliance66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121159.7%126 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Walczaki56c150$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.540141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Walczaki34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5132844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Walczaki45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.591743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Alliance64c147.62$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6242757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Alliance69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9358149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Walczaki36c138.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9823335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed Walczaki36c136.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0529455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Alliance64c122.63$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9127459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Alliance63c120$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4591945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Walczaki36c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7150056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Alliance65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4222954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Walczaki37c118$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6667750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Walczaki36c117.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1399148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8766…0ef8backed Alliance63c107$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5912152.9%64 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Walczaki21c104.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2237140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Walczaki36c101.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8119052.6%100 W · 90 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa610…6121backed Walczaki45c100.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+90.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked Walczaki42c100.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.118740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Alliance63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3736057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba9e…14fcbacked Walczaki42c95.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed Alliance63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.244346.5%20 W · 23 L-6.5wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance45c91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.933,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Alliance41c90$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.449242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Alliance66c87.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8820457.8%118 W · 86 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Walczaki36c81.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.380741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef0…88abbacked Walczaki37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304537.8%17 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Walczaki37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.674054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Alliance64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.835153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd9…be42backed Alliance63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Walczaki45c78.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3326048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Walczaki39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Alliance66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762763%17 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed Alliance66c74.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2415966%105 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544654.9%245 W · 201 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed Walczaki37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513148.9%64 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b2…4ec3backed Alliance61c65.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.737164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Alliance62c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c83…7558backed Walczaki22c55.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Alliance72c54.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1110650.9%54 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb5…b56dbacked Alliance66c48.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.375160.8%31 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Alliance65c44.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4385054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Walczaki35c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2b…70efbacked Walczaki37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512564.8%81 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…5531backed Walczaki38c39.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.