CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x738e256301952bd9de5a373db582099f6aa5bf81d4f160def2edb38a8e720082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Walczaki, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 43c | 1,582$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed Alliance | 42c | 1,306$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.63 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki | 44c | 1,034$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.79 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Walczaki | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Alliance | 56c | 974.61$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.83 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Walczaki | 34c | 654.29$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.7 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Walczaki | 39c | 645.86$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.49 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked Alliance | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Walczaki | 50c | 441.72$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.23 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed Alliance | 57c | 405.4$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Alliance | 57c | 366.54$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Walczaki | 65c | 334.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed Walczaki | 49c | 303.16$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki | 42c | 254.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Alliance | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Alliance | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Walczaki | 51c | 219.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alliance | 51c | 206.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Alliance | 61c | 200.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Alliance | 42c | 180$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Alliance | 51c | 136.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki | 50c | 108.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Alliance | 65c | 100.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki | 42c | 100.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Alliance | 39c | 95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Walczaki | 35c | 91.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Alliance | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Alliance | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Alliance | 56c | 48.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Walczaki | 32c | 43.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Alliance | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 49c | 37.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Walczaki | 43c | 35.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Walczaki | 41c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…73d0backed Alliance | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Alliance | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…f813backed Alliance | 64c | 31.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Alliance | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Alliance | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 48c | 22.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Alliance | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Alliance | 53c | 18.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.